The British Pound is facing mounting pressure against the Euro heading into autumn as market expectations for Bank of England monetary tightening have diminished significantly, according to Rabobank Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley. The Sterling weakness comes amid political developments surrounding UK Prime Minister Burnham’s government, compounding concerns about the currency’s near-term trajectory.

Traders are recalibrating positions on GBP/EUR as dovish repricing of BoE policy tightening reduces the Pound’s yield advantage over the single currency. The combination of softer monetary policy expectations and domestic political uncertainty is creating headwinds for Sterling across European currency pairs. Market participants holding long GBP positions against the Euro should prepare for continued volatility through the autumn months.

FX strategists and brokers serving clients with UK exposure need to monitor both BoE communications and Westminster political developments as dual drivers of Sterling performance in coming weeks.

FXnCO Insight

Consider hedging GBP/EUR exposure or reducing long Sterling positions as dovish BoE repricing and political uncertainty create a challenging technical and fundamental backdrop through autumn.

Source: FXStreet