Aluminium prices have extended their recovery after bottoming out at four-month lows, driven primarily by renewed Chinese demand sparked by the recent price weakness. ING commodities analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that bargain-hunting Chinese buyers entered the market as prices declined, providing crucial support for the rebound. The move comes amid broader expectations of a supply deficit in the aluminium market, which is fundamentally underpinning the metal’s recovery trajectory.

The price action signals growing confidence among industrial consumers that current levels represent value, particularly as China’s manufacturing sector continues to require steady aluminium supplies for production. The deficit outlook suggests limited downside risk from current levels, with supply constraints likely to prevent any sustained price collapse. Traders are now watching whether this Chinese-led buying momentum can attract broader institutional participation and push prices sustainably higher.

FXnCO Insight

The combination of deficit fundamentals and Chinese price-sensitive buying indicates aluminium has likely established a near-term floor, making bullish positions attractive for commodities traders seeking metals exposure with supply-side support.

Source: FXStreet