Oil prices tumbled following the United States’ decision to grant a 60-day sanctions waiver permitting Iranian crude exports to continue flowing to international markets. The move by Washington comes as supply pressures intensify, with increased petroleum flows already moving through the critical Strait of Hormuz shipping channel. ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey highlighted the combined impact of these developments on market sentiment.

The sanctions relief temporarily eases restrictions on Iranian oil sales, potentially adding significant barrels to global supply at a time when the strategic waterway is already handling elevated volumes. This dual supply boost has triggered immediate downward pressure on benchmark crude prices, catching many market participants off guard. The waiver’s limited 60-day timeframe introduces fresh uncertainty about supply dynamics heading into the second quarter.

Traders and energy-focused portfolios should brace for continued volatility as markets digest the supply implications while monitoring geopolitical developments that could rapidly reverse the waiver.

FXnCO Insight

Energy traders should closely watch the waiver’s expiration timeline and Iranian export volumes, as any policy reversal could trigger sharp price rebounds within weeks.

Source: FXStreet