Silver prices surged Thursday, climbing 1.05% to approach the $68.10 mark as geopolitical tensions eased following a US-Iran diplomatic agreement. The precious metal gained momentum from safe-haven flows reversing as the bilateral deal reduced Middle East conflict risks that had previously supported defensive positioning across commodities markets.

However, the white metal’s upside remains capped by persistent hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Policymakers continue emphasizing their commitment to maintaining elevated interest rates to combat inflation, which traditionally pressures non-yielding assets like silver. The divergence between easing geopolitical premiums and restrictive monetary policy is creating a technical ceiling for the commodity.

Traders should watch for continued volatility as silver navigates between these competing forces. The XAG/USD pair remains sensitive to both diplomatic developments from the Middle East and any shifts in Fed rhetoric ahead of upcoming economic data releases. Options traders are already pricing increased implied volatility through the next policy meeting.

FXnCO Insight

Silver’s rally may prove short-lived as Fed hawkishness outweighs geopolitical relief—consider booking profits near $68.10 resistance and watch US inflation data for directional confirmation.

Source: FXStreet