West Texas Intermediate crude oil is trading around $75.10 per barrel during Thursday’s Asian session, breaking a five-day losing streak despite reduced supply concerns from the Middle East. The recovery comes as geopolitical tensions in the region show signs of easing, which would typically pressure prices downward rather than support them.

The oil market’s resilience suggests traders are pricing in other factors beyond immediate supply disruptions. WTI’s ability to hold above the $75 threshold indicates underlying demand expectations may be offsetting the relief from diminished geopolitical risks. This price action occurs as market participants also assess Federal Reserve policy trajectory, with rate hike probabilities emerging for 2026 that could impact broader commodity demand and dollar strength.

The disconnect between easing supply fears and rising prices signals potential positioning ahead of key economic data or production decisions from major oil producers.

FXnCO Insight

Traders should monitor whether WTI can sustain gains above $75 as a technical floor, with breaks below signaling renewed downside risk if geopolitical premiums fully unwind.

Source: FXStreet