The United States and Iran have reportedly reached a preliminary agreement on a 60-day memorandum of understanding that would extend the current ceasefire and initiate negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program, according to Axios journalist Barak Ravid on Thursday. The deal awaits final approval from President Donald Trump, with two US officials confirming the development. This potential breakthrough comes amid heightened tensions in the Middle East and could significantly impact energy markets and regional stability.

Traders should watch oil prices closely as any formal announcement could trigger immediate volatility in crude futures. The agreement signals potential de-escalation between Washington and Tehran, which typically pressures oil prices downward due to reduced geopolitical risk premiums. Currency markets may also react, particularly emerging market currencies sensitive to Middle East stability. Defense sector equities could see profit-taking if the deal materializes.

FXnCO Insight

Monitor Brent and WTI crude for downside moves on formal confirmation, while positioning for reduced geopolitical premium across energy-sensitive assets.

Source: FXStreet