Silver prices surged over two percent Thursday following news of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon, with the XAG/USD pair trading around $74.80 as of press time. The rally comes as the geopolitical development pressures the US Dollar lower, providing support for dollar-denominated precious metals. However, the recovery momentum appears limited, with silver failing to break above its 50-day simple moving average and remaining confined within the $72 to $78 trading range that has constrained the metal since mid-May.

Traders and brokers should note that despite today’s gains, silver continues to face technical resistance and lacks the conviction needed for a sustained breakout. The established range suggests underlying market uncertainty persists even as immediate geopolitical tensions ease. Portfolio managers with precious metals exposure should monitor whether Friday’s session can sustain momentum above current levels or if the pair retreats toward range support.

FXnCO Insight

Silver’s failure to clear its 50-day moving average despite geopolitical tailwinds signals range-bound conditions will likely persist, favoring mean-reversion strategies over directional bets.

Source: FXStreet