Gold is trading near $4,100 Friday morning, holding within Thursday’s range but on track for a 1.6% weekly decline as geopolitical tensions shift market dynamics. The precious metal has faced sustained pressure this week following renewed conflict in Iran, which sent oil prices surging and created concerns about inflationary pressure on central banks. The bearish trend remains intact for XAU/USD.

The oil price spike resulting from Iranian hostilities is forcing traders to reconsider central bank rate trajectories, with higher energy costs potentially compelling policymakers to maintain or increase interest rates. This environment typically weighs on non-yielding assets like gold, as higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding bullion. Traders and brokers should monitor both Middle East developments and central bank commentary closely, as these factors will likely drive gold volatility in coming sessions.

FXnCO Insight

Position for continued gold weakness while oil remains elevated, but watch for safe-haven reversals if geopolitical risks escalate beyond current levels.

Source: FXStreet