The euro found support against the US dollar Tuesday, trading at 1.1369 despite modest losses, following hawkish signals from European Central Bank policymakers. ECB Governing Council member Gediminas Simkus indicated that a rate hike in September is more probable than maintaining current levels, according to analysis from UOB strategists. This guidance reinforces market expectations that the ECB will continue its tightening cycle to combat persistent eurozone inflation.

The comments provide a bullish undercurrent for EUR/USD even as the pair experiences short-term volatility. Traders are now pricing in higher probability of further ECB rate increases, which could support the euro against major currencies in coming weeks. The divergence between ECB and Federal Reserve policy trajectories remains a key driver for the currency pair, with the Fed approaching its peak rate while the ECB signals additional tightening ahead.

FXnCO Insight

EUR/USD long positions remain attractive ahead of September’s ECB meeting, with hawkish policy guidance likely to provide downside protection near current levels.

Source: FXStreet