Deutsche Bank strategists confirm major equity indices including the S&P 500 reached fresh record highs last week, driven by a combination of declining energy prices and shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations. The bank attributes the rally to easing oil costs reducing inflation pressures alongside softer monetary policy outlooks from the Fed, creating favorable conditions for risk assets.

The breakout follows renewed confidence in artificial intelligence stocks, which rebounded strongly to contribute momentum alongside the energy-driven inflation relief. This dual catalyst provided equity markets with the support needed to push through previous resistance levels across major US indices.

Traders are now positioning for continued upside as lower energy input costs boost corporate margin expectations while dovish Fed pricing supports higher valuations. The combination of falling commodity pressures and accommodative rate expectations creates a supportive backdrop for equities in the near term, particularly benefiting growth-oriented technology and AI-related sectors that had previously faced valuation concerns.

FXnCO Insight

Monitor crude oil’s trajectory closely—sustained weakness below key technical levels could extend this equity rally while supporting long positions in growth sectors most sensitive to rate expectations.

Source: FXStreet