Copper prices surged above $14,000 per tonne, hovering near all-time highs as multiple supply-side pressures converge across global markets. ING commodities analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey attribute the rally to tariff-driven stockpiling into the United States combined with exceptionally tight physical copper availability in other regions.

The analysts highlight that inventories remain critically low while mine supply faces persistent constraints and operational disruptions continue to limit output. This confluence of factors has created a supply crunch pushing prices toward record territory. The tariff-related purchasing ahead of potential trade restrictions has accelerated demand into US warehouses, intensifying the squeeze on available material.

Traders should monitor whether stockpiling demand proves sustainable or creates a pull-forward effect that could reverse once tariffs are implemented or delayed. The tight physical market conditions suggest limited downside protection even if speculative positioning shifts.

FXnCO Insight

Copper’s supply constraints and inventory tightness favor maintaining long exposure, but watch for potential demand destruction above $14,500 as industrial buyers may delay purchases at extreme price levels.

Source: FXStreet