Canada posted its largest merchandise trade surplus in four years during May, with exports climbing to an all-time high of C$77.1 billion, according to National Bank of Canada strategist Alexandra Ducharme. The robust export performance was primarily fueled by surging shipments of metal ores and non-metallic minerals, though energy exports weakened during the period.

The stronger-than-expected trade figures signal resilience in Canada’s resource sector amid global economic uncertainty and could provide support for the Canadian dollar in near-term trading. The shift in export composition away from energy toward industrial metals reflects changing global demand patterns and may indicate strength in manufacturing and construction activity among Canada’s trading partners.

The trade data comes as markets monitor Canada’s economic health following recent interest rate adjustments by the Bank of Canada. The widening surplus reduces pressure on the country’s current account and strengthens its external position.

FXnCO Insight

Traders should watch for CAD strength against major currencies as the robust trade surplus supports bullish positioning, particularly in CAD/USD pairs.

Source: FXStreet